Fearful Forecast Week 2
HANOVER – The Fearful Forecast has been around since the start of BGA Premium in 2005 and there’s a very good chance last week’s 7-2 record was ruined by the single worst prediction in the history of the feature.
The absurdly bad prediction: Georgetown 28, Brown 21
Now, picking the Hoyas to win wasn’t all that much of a stretch. They were coming into the game at 2-1 and had scored points by the boatload, dropping 51 on Davidson and 31 on Wagner. Granted, neither of those teams has beaten a DI opponent this fall, but Georgetown had also scored 37 points in a loss to a pretty fair Lafayette team.
You had to think a team averaging 39.8 points per game was going to have success against a Brown team that year after year has struggled mightily on defense under coach James Perry.
The final score: Brown 45, Georgetown 0
It would have helped if I knew the Georgetown starting quarterback would not play, and his backup would complete just 7-of-24 passes with two interceptions but hey, it’s a long season and I’ll get ‘em next time, right?
Brown (1-0) at Harvard (1-0)
The Bears shut down Georgetown last week and shot down the Crimson last year. So what's going down this week? Brown. Harvard 31-21.
Cornell (0-1) at Yale (1-0)
The Ithacans have beaten Yale two years in a row but they are the Ithacan'ts this time around. Yale 35-14.
Georgetown (2-2) at Columbia (0-1)
Fool me once, Hoyas. I wish I knew if your QB is going to be back but either way, you aren’t fooling me again. Columbia 35-21.
Penn (1-0) at Lehigh (4-0)
A priori, (Ray) Priore’s team was lucky to survive Stonehill. That doesn't bode well against Lehigh. Lehigh 28, Penn 24.
Princeton (0-1) at Lafayette (3-1)
A second cat fight in as many weeks for Lafayette. Go with the Leopards over the Tigers. Lafayette 38-17
Holy Cross (0-4) at Fordham (0-4)
One of these teams is much better than its record and guess what? It’s not the one on Dartmouth's schedule. Holy Cross 44-10.
Albany (0-4) at New Hampshire (2-2)
There’s something rotten in Denmark and it is this: Albany's Great Danes. Their not great, that is. Or good, for that matter. New Hampshire 42-14.
LAST WEEK
This BGA Guy Is A Genius
Predicted: Lafayette 35, Columbia 21
Actual: Lafayette 38, Columbia 14
Comment: Not bad a bad pick at all.
Predicted: Yale 28, Holy Cross 24
Actual: Yale 28, Holy Cross 10
Comment: Can you be “half perfect?”
Predicted: Penn 42, Stonehill 17
Actual: Penn 24, Stonehill 21
Comment: Last-minute FG saves the Fearful Forecast.
Predicted: Harvard 48, Stetson 0
Actual: Harvard 59, Stetson 7
Comment: Harvard was a field goal away from 48-0 . . . at the half.
Predicted: Albany 35, Cornell 7
Actual: Albany 12, Cornell 10
Comment: Offense optional.
Predicted: Colgate 35, Fordham 14
Actual: Colgate 44, Fordham 21
Comment: Rams’ points against actually came down!
Predicted: Merrimack 24, Central Connecticut 21
Actual: Merrimack 16, Central Connecticut 14
Comment: Got the spread just about right.
This BGA Guy Is A Dolt
Predicted: Georgetown 28, Brown 21
Actual: Brown 45, Georgetown 0
Comment: If you read this far you know I need to atone.
Predicted: Princeton 21, San Diego 7
Actual: San Diego 45, Princeton 32
Comment: West Coast Offense, East Coast offensive.
Last Week: 7-2 (.778)
Season to Date: Same
